Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.002346 0.002486 0.002635 0.002807 0.003000 0.003212 0.003464
2025-02-09 0.002182 0.002383 0.002609 0.002887 0.003223 0.003626 0.004155
2025-02-16 0.002038 0.002271 0.002545 0.002898 0.003351 0.003933 0.004770
2025-02-23 0.001967 0.002232 0.002554 0.002986 0.003574 0.004385 0.005675
2025-03-02 0.001858 0.002133 0.002475 0.002948 0.003617 0.004590 0.006268
2025-03-09 0.001755 0.002032 0.002382 0.002878 0.003600 0.004697 0.006723
2025-03-16 0.001715 0.002006 0.002384 0.002934 0.003770 0.005118 0.007878
2025-03-23 0.001675 0.001979 0.002379 0.002978 0.003923 0.005540 0.009233
2025-03-30 0.001615 0.001919 0.002326 0.002945 0.003948 0.005740 0.010193
2025-04-06 0.001545 0.001843 0.002244 0.002861 0.003878 0.005746 0.010663
2025-04-13 0.001495 0.001791 0.002194 0.002822 0.003879 0.005889 0.011616
2025-04-20 0.001412 0.001692 0.002072 0.002665 0.003662 0.005555 0.010936
2025-04-27 0.001384 0.001669 0.002061 0.002685 0.003767 0.005935 0.012953
2025-05-04 0.001371 0.001666 0.002080 0.002755 0.003973 0.006602 0.017041
2025-05-11 0.001343 0.001641 0.002063 0.002764 0.004067 0.007040 0.021192
2025-05-18 0.001334 0.001643 0.002088 0.002845 0.004313 0.007971 0.032703
2025-05-25 0.001298 0.001604 0.002048 0.002810 0.004317 0.008227 0.040661
2025-06-01 0.001258 0.001556 0.001992 0.002745 0.004250 0.008251 0.046420
2025-06-08 0.001247 0.001552 0.002002 0.002797 0.004444 0.009199 0.097630
2025-06-15 0.001233 0.001543 0.002006 0.002837 0.004618 0.010201 0.538848
2025-06-22 0.001206 0.001513 0.001973 0.002807 0.004624 0.010566 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001170 0.001468 0.001917 0.002730 0.004508 0.010371 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001145 0.001439 0.001883 0.002694 0.004489 0.010608 NaN